| 2 | | red all over | | If the Bush administration hoped that new budget projections out last week might distract from the mounting body count in Iraq, they got their wish. But if they thought that might be a good thing, they were surely disappointed. The White House admitted July 15 that the $5 trillion surplus envisioned three years ago has disappeared. Instead, the federal government has dived deeper into the red ink than ever before in history. This year, the government will spend $455 billion more than it takes in, and next year's shortfall is expected to swell to $475 billion. Deficit levels should shrink a bit after that, but no one in the White House expects to see another surplus before Mr. Bush completes his second term in 2008. Democrats hope the budget mess may preclude a second term entirely. They blame GOP tax cuts for the sudden record deficits. But the White House insists those cuts have successfully laid the groundwork for faster growth once the economy begins to recover, probably later this year. The real culprits behind the budget numbers, according to the president's economic advisers, are the continuing recession, the stock market collapse, and the high cost of the war on terror. In such an environment, "manageable," short-term deficits are to be expected, insisted White House budget chief Josh Bolten. Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan agreed that the deficits posed no near-term economic problems, but he warned they must be brought quickly under control. That would be doubly bad news for the administration, which already has watched the unemployment rate creep up to 6.4 percent, its highest level in almost a decade. Unless those numbers turn around soon, Mr. Bush may find the "battle for hearts and minds" in America almost as difficult as the one in the Middle East. | |
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