48 | The arrival of Labor Day signaled another feisty fall campaign, which could be the last elections before McCain-Feingold spending restrictions kick in. From all the political talk, you'd think it was 1992. The GOP is hoping voters focus on successful military action abroad and the need for an effective national defense, while Democrats are expecting to focus on the domestic economy and corporate scandals. Steve Moore, the conservative economist behind The Club for Growth, warns that if the economy and the stock market continue to stumble, "Republicans are going to lose the House and could lose seats in the Senate." The House battle will be a test of historical trends. While the president's party has lost House seats in every midterm election but one since 1934, the continuing shift of congressional districts into Bush states in the South and West, as well as the increase in GOP-held state legislatures that often draw districts, could offset any losses.